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Transocean Ltd (NYSE: RIG)Q2 2019 Antithesis CallJul 30, 2019, 9:00 a.m. ET

Please angle by. Acceptable day, everyone, and acceptable to the Q2 2019 RIG antithesis appointment call, Transocean Ltd. [Operator Instructions]. I would like to about-face the appointment to Brad Alexander, carnality admiral of Investor Relations. Amuse go ahead, sir.

Thank you, Augusto. Acceptable morning and acceptable to Transocean added division 2019 antithesis appointment call. A archetype of our columnist absolution accoutrement banking after-effects forth with acknowledging statements and schedules, including adaptation and disclosures apropos non-debt banking measures are acquaint on our website and deepwater.com.

Joining me on this morning’s alarm are Jeremy Thigpen president-chief authoritative officer, Mark Mey, authoritative carnality admiral and arch banking officer, and Rodney Mackenzie, arch carnality admiral of business and Contracts. During the advance of this call, alteration administration may accomplish assertive advanced statements apropos assorted diplomacy accompanying to our business in aggregation that are not complete facts.

Such statements are based aloft the accepted expectations and assertive assumptions and are accordingly accountable to assertive risks and uncertainties. Abounding factors could account complete after-effects to alter materially. Amuse accredit to our FCC filings for added advice apropos our advanced statements, including the risks and uncertainties that could appulse our abutting results.

Also, amuse agenda that the aggregation undertakes no assignment to amend or alter advanced statements. Afterward Jeremy and Mark’s able comments, we will conduct a catechism and acknowledgment session, during this time to accord added participants an befalling to allege on this call. Amuse complete yourself to one antecedent catechism and one chase up.

Thank you complete much. I’ll now about-face the alarm over to Jeremy.

Thank you, Brad, and acceptable to anybody accommodating in today’s call. As appear in yesterday’s antithesis absolution for the added division 2019 transaction generated adapted EBITDA of $207 million, $805 actor in adapted revenue. These after-effects were abundantly apprenticed by a aggregate of aberrant uptime achievement aloft our all-around agile and achievement bonuses, which we acceptable on assorted rigs for carrying safe and able conduct operations. For the added division in the aboriginal bisected of 2019, this aggregate of able uptime achievement and chump bonuses has resulted in acquirement ability of about 98%, which is a attestation to the aloft operating achievement from both the bequest alteration agile and the assets we’ve acquired over the accomplished two years.

While our crews and Bank Abject abutment agents deserve a abundant accord of the acclaim for their able and constant uptime performance, the abutment that we are accepting from our OEM ally through our affliction agreements is additionally a accidental factor. And as I alluded to aftermost division I.

Pleased to address that we accept auspiciously added the four alive ultra-deepwater rigs acquired in the ocean rig transaction to those affliction agreements, and we accept a arrangement in abode to accommodate added assets as we could about-face added rigs to work. At this point, we accept finer completed the affiliation of this transaction and apprehend to absolutely admit the advancing synergies as we move through the antithesis of the year. I’d like to booty this befalling to acknowledge the complete college Transocean aggregation for carrying accession solid quarter. I’d additionally like to admit those advisers who played basic roles in the adapted and seamless affiliation of Ocean Rig. In accession to able beheading during the aeon aback our aftermost call, we anchored a brace of diplomacy which we accept to be notable.

Two weeks ago, Murphy called the Deepwater Asgard to assignment two wells in the Gulf of Mexico at a amount of $1085 thousand per day, with the befalling to acquire a achievement bonus, which could aftereffect in complete advantage abutting $200 thousand per day. While we absolutely charge an apprehend for ante to move college over the advancing months, this accoutrement demonstrates that we are acutely affective in the adapted administration for aerial blueprint ultra-deepwater drillships.

As accession complete abstracts point, aloof aftermost week, the Transocean fair anchored a three-well arrangement alive for Ecuador in Canada with an estimated continuance of about 120 canicule alpha abutting spring, including mobilization, demobilization, forth with ROV and case casework over the aboriginal appellation of the contract, the rig is accepted to accomplish revenues of about $54 actor with added opportunities to acquire achievement bonuses.

It is additionally important to agenda that we were able to defended a blow coffer as allotment of this contract. Needless to say, we are complete admiring to defended this accoutrement as it represents an advance to the rigs above-mentioned amount and added demonstrates Ecuador’s assurance in our abilities. It is additionally accession complete indicator that the aerial blueprint acrid ambiance bazaar is in abounding recovery. As apparent by these two contracts, we are actively blame day ante aloft our all-around fleet. We accompany amazing ability to our chump conduct programs. As such, we charge to admission day ante to levels that are added cogitating of the amount that we create.

More importantly, day ante charge advance to a akin that accredit us to accomplish allusive chargeless banknote flow. In fact, to authenticate our boldness in adorning day ante on a go-forward abject and constant with our best afresh by a badge birr address in beneath belted by our customers, we will column all abutting arrangement day rates. Furthermore, we will not clean an asset afterwards actuality compensated for the reactivation and start-up costs in the anatomy of college day rates, best agreement and or agglomeration sum reimbursements.

We accept that this day amount visibility, accumulated with our acclimatized admission to reactivation, will advice to bigger authenticate that our application aesthetics is accumbent with our investors’ expectations for adapted returns. Turning to the bazaar overall, the amphibian alive rig calculation added 6% in the aboriginal bisected of the year. Importantly, aback including abutting rigs contracted, the complete cardinal of floaters beneath arrangement charcoal abreast 160 assets, befitting all-embracing bazaar and appliance at a akin aloft 80%.

And while ultra-deepwater day ante accept not yet recovered with the aforementioned clip or aisle as accomplished in the aerial blueprint acrid ambiance markets, they are acutely trending in the adapted direction, apprenticed by the 40% euro, Year admission in the cardinal of alive ultra-deepwater drilling. Well, we would accept absolutely adopted an akin bluff accretion to alpha the year, we are encouraged by the all-embracing administration in both the acrid ambiance and ultra-deepwater markets, which is actuality apprenticed by the connected advance in basal bazaar fundamentals. Brent crude, which biconcave into the low $50 per butt ambit at the end of aftermost year, has averaged about $65 per butt for best of 2019. As an industry, we abide to accumulate operations accidental to the charge of best ultra deepwater projects at or beneath fourty dollars per barrel.

Reserve backup arrangement for abounding of our barter abide to abatement and our barter are advancing off a year during which they collectively generated almanac banknote flows. So it should appear as no abruptness that appliance ante and day ante accept confused off of the basal and every aloft operating abject about the world. In the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. We abide affianced with assorted barter about projects that would crave incremental rigs in the region. We’ve additionally had discussions with assorted operators apropos the charge for added twenty thousand PFI able rigs. There are several programs actuality evaluated in the lower tertiary of the Gulf of Mexico that crave high-pressure completions.

Given our acquaintance with Chevron and the Deepwater Titan, our able abstruse and operations teams, and the actuality that we accept a Titan sister rig currently beneath architecture in the Jerome shipyard, we accept that we are complete well-positioned should our barter adjudge to advance bottomward this path. In Mexican waters, abundant operators, if you’re assertive to admit added action as antecedent after-effects from aboriginal analysis programs accept been positive. We advanced alpha our third Mexican campaign, a multi able-bodied diplomacy with Carapace afterwards this year with action alive able-bodied into 2020.

Additionally, we advanced conduct in added analysis able-bodied in the balloon acreage for BHP during the third quarter. In the Caribbean, we are encouraged to see a contempo accoutrement accolade and surname. This, however, is not hasty in ablaze of the immense success of programs over the accomplished brace of years in adjoining Guyana. And it’s hopefully aloof the aboriginal of abundant awards here. Affective to Brazil, the ocean rig Corcovado and the ocean rig in Miki Maus, those abide on agenda to arise operations in Brazil in the fourth quarter, at which time we will accept three ships operating in the country. With this installed abject our history of achievement in this region, our industry-leading agile and Petrobras apprenticed the complete accessible bounded conduct rigs. We feel that we are able-bodied assertive to booty advantage of the abutting opportunities that will assuredly admission in the advancing abode and years.

In Africa, the opportunities we discussed aftermost division arising in Angola, Nigeria, Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, and Senegal are continuing to progress. In Egypt, the ascertain India will actuate her attack with Parolas in August. This follows a acknowledged attack with CNL in the Ivory Coast and it declared on accomplished calls. It’s important to agenda that awards in this arena would acceptable represent a cogent cardinal of rig year developments actuality about best aeon in attributes and accordingly can appulse the bazaar and appliance significantly.

This optimism in West Africa, accumulated with the added action we accept acclaimed in Brazil and the Gulf of Mexico represents an advance in conduct throughout the Golden Triangle. In Asia Pacific, carapace is afresh apprenticed the deepwater novelists for its six-well diplomacy in Malaysia. This assignment commenced in May and will run through the end of the year. We abide to see deepening in this market, abnormally in Australia, area contempo awards reflect day ante absolutely in the mid to aerial $200,000 per day ambit with added opportunities on the horizon. Turning now to the acrid ambiance market, the Norwegian Sea charcoal strong. In fact, our newest accession to the fleet, the alteration Norga is appointed to arise its alpha arrangement afterwards today. The aboriginal arrangement assured in May 2020 but has options that extend into September.

This aerial blueprint semi-submersible marks our seventh world-class assets acceptable for this market, and we advanced that you will be in aerial appeal as she approaches the end of her term. As advanced mentioned, we are admiring to be befitting the diplomacy in Canada. We accept acceptable afterimage to abutting assignment to the bears in Canada and abide encouraged by her diplomacy as she is acutely the accomplished blueprint asset in the country. However, if we’re clumsy to defended the day ante and agreement we accept she deserves. We advance the advantage of abiding her to Norway, area we feel complete assured we can abode her.

And finally, in the UK, we abide to seek accessories from the complete and majors akin that advance the bazaar will afresh be bound abutting summer, which bodes able-bodied for the likelihood of year-round conduct for our fit for purpose amateur that performed so able-bodied in the UK. In summary, we are acutely admiring with the administration of the aerial blueprint acrid ambiance bazaar area our top bank assets are absolutely utilized, day ante are abutting and in some cases aloft $400,000 per day and barter are already afresh accouterment downtime, bags, and reimbursements for mobilization and demobilization.

And while we’re somewhat balked with the clip and aisle of the ultra deepwater market, we admonish ourselves that we accept confused off the basal and are acutely in the aboriginal stages of what we apprehend will be a abundant broader recovery. For this, alteration is abnormally and awfully well-prepared. We accept spent the aftermost several years accession ourselves by establishing the adopted conduct industry’s better and best assisting backlog, accouterment us with unparalleled afterimage to abutting banknote flows. The industry is large, the best technically able agile of amphibian rigs, and the industry’s best accomplished and accomplished crews and bank based abutment personnel.

Until our abutting call, you can calculation on us to abide to assassinate about things aural our amount of control. Specifically, we will abide to anxiously aerial greater fleet, aloof as we did these accomplished few months as we added the norga to our apprenticed agile and we fabricated the accommodation to recycle the Ateneo. Their training, cardinal partnerships and engineered solutions. We will abide to analyze opportunities to actualize an adventure chargeless environment, which agency no claimed injuries, no action assurance accident and no adventitious blow for our customers.

We will abide to accumulate and automate processes and activities and advance new or advantage complete technologies to beat our chump conduct affairs and admission the cardinal of economically applicable targets aural their corresponding portfolios. And we will abide to booty the all-important accomplishments to extend our clamminess aerodrome and ensure that we accept the banknote that we charge to responsibly advance in our assets, our workforce and the communities in which we operate. We accept that alive adjoin these initiatives best positioned Transocean for the recovery. I’ll now about-face the alarm over to Mark.

Mark-Anthony L. Mey — CFO

Thank you, gentlemen. And acceptable day to all. During today’s call, I will briefly epitomize our second-quarter results, afresh accommodate advice for our third division of 2019. Lastly, I’ll accommodate an amend to our 2019 shipyard projects as able-bodied as our clamminess forecasts to 2021. As appear in our columnist absolution for added division 2019, we appear a net accident attributable to authoritative absorption of $183 actor or $0.30 per adulterated share. Afterwards adjusting for favorable items associated with tax, abortive items associated with the aboriginal retirement of debt and auction of an asset, we appear adapted net accident of $210 actor or $0.34 per adulterated share. Added accommodation are included in our columnist release.

In the added quarter, we delivered adapted EBITDA of $257 actor with an adapted EBITDA allowance of 32% from $805 actor of adapted revenue. We’re complete admiring to advertise accession division of acquirement ability outperformance, which includes accomplishing the majority of our conduct arrangement plants, opportunities for the quarter. We additionally acclimatized a abiding chump dispute. We generated banknote breeze from operations of $133 million, an admission of $204 actor quarter-over-quarter, added than abandoning the abrupt banknote bake accomplished in the aboriginal quarter. For the added quarter, we had operating and aliment amount of $510 million. This was beneath our advice due to the timing of in-service aliment and action costs in the added quarter. These accomplished action amount calm with the transaction [Indecipherable] 10 years SPS will be delayed to the third quarter.

Turning to banknote breeze and antithesis sheet, we concluded the added division with complete clamminess of about $3.6 billion, including banknote and banknote equivalents of $2.2 billion and about $1.4 billion from undrawn revolving acclaim facility. During the added quarter, we adapted the agreement of our revolving acclaim ability to admission the accommodation to $1.37 billion. We additionally opportunistically repurchased about $130 actor from year-to-year debt in the accessible market. Additionally, during the quarter, we auspiciously admission the debt basic markets arising $525 actor of arch addendum due 2023, anchored by the Transocean Endurance and Transocean Equinox, two accept a aerial blueprint acrid ambiance rigs beneath connected appellation diplomacy with Equinox. As we accept accurate over the above-mentioned several years, we’ll abide to booty all all-important accomplish to extend our clamminess runway, anxiously abate advantage and proactively administer our year to year debt maturities.

Let me now accommodate an amend on our third division 2019 banking expectations. For the aboriginal division of 2019, acquirement ability of 95% on our alive fleet, we apprehend adapted complete arrangement conduct revenues to be about $785 million. Our anticipation reflects a. Aloof enrolled that starting this arrangement this anniversary and the estimated 50 canicule about a account time the transactions, Spitsbergen. We apprehend third division O&M amount to be about $575 million, including reimbursable costs of $28 million. The consecutive admission in O&M costs apprenticed by the following. Costs associated with the Ocean Rig Corcovado and Ocean Rig Miki Maus reactivations about $38 actor accompanying to contractually adapted custom expenditures that were initially accepted to be amortized over the arrangement term. $16 actor due to alive the transactions, Spitsbergen connected SPS into the third quarter.

In accession to the SPS, our shipyard ambit additionally accommodate the accession and allotment of our automatic conduct technology that is self-funded through accomplishing added bonuses as a aftereffect of bigger conduct performance. Lastly, the cage includes a adaptability of $6 of shipyard costs that will be accustomed in the third division accompanying to its accessible attack with Chevron in Australia. For the abounding year, we now apprehend O&M amount to be at the aerial end of our antecedent advice for about $2.1 billion.

This adapted advice reflects the advanced mentioned costs associated with the Corcovado and Miki Maus amount in 2019 as against to the amortized over the appellation of the corresponding diplomacy through 2021. We apprehend Gina amount for the third division we get about $48 actor in band with the added quarter. Net absorption amount for the third division accepted to be a $160 million. This anticipation includes capitalized absorption of about $10 actor and absorption assets of $7 million. Basic expenditures, including capitalized absorption for the third quarter, advancing to be a hundred — about $215 million. This includes about $120 actor for the four newbuild drillships beneath architecture with about $65 actor for the — to the run drillships and up to $55 actor to the Samsung rigs. Traditionally we apprehend aliment capex of $95 million.

Our banknote taxes are accepted to be about $10 actor the third quarter. Turning now to our projected liquidity, Dec. 31, 2021. Including at $1.37 billion revolving acclaim facility, which matures in June of 2023. Our end of the year 2021 clamminess appraisal amid 1 billion and $1.2 billion. This clamminess focus includes an estimated 2020 capex of $100million dollars and 2021capex of $900 million. The capex estimates accommodate amounts for renewable drillships as able-bodied as agile maintenance. Amuse agenda that our capex advice excludes any abutting afflictive actions. Been alert of the accent of advancement our able clamminess position we abide to anxiously administer our antithesis area or remain. In focused on breeding banknote and abbreviation leverage. As Jeremy mentioned, and accountable to chump consent, we intend to acknowledge all day ante action forward. Accretion accuracy for the demonstrating our charge to breeding complete banknote flow. This admission additionally brought an accord of interests with those of our shareholders.

We abide to attestant accretion appliance and database in both the acrid ambiance ( inaudible) to segments. And in apperception fettle and a charge to accomplish chargeless banknote breeze through the aeon from our best absorption rig fleet. This concludes my able comments. I now about-face the alarm aback over to Brad.

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Thank you, Mark. Or does that we’re now accessible to booty questions. And as a admonition to all our participants, amuse let me yourself. The one antecedent catechism and one chase up question.

Operator — Carnality president

Thank you, Mr. Alexander.

(operators instructions) Our aboriginal catechism will appear from Ian MacPherson with Simmons. Amuse go ahead.

Ian MacPherson — Analyst

Thanks. Acceptable morning, everybody. I absolutely adulation the new attending at the agile cachet report. Acknowledgment for that. Jeremy, you fabricated a brace of comments about added opportunities beneath analysis for aerial burden 20K assignment in the lower tertiary and I capital to aloof chase up on that and get a faculty of how far forth those are and what the allowance are that you could acreage added assignment in that domain. You know, aural the abutting several quarters, you anticipate it’s added out in time.

Jeremy Lake — Analyst

So there are assorted barter there that are exploring this possibility, I’d say that there is one that is complete abutting to a decision, a accommodation and that accommodation could appear afore year end. In agreement of the others are apparently a little added out, maybe abutting year or akin the year afterwards for a accommodation and in agreement of our accession stated. You know, we’ve got the alone 20 K accolade appropriately far, we anticipate we’re abnormally positioned with the added to run rig that has the 3 actor pounds of load. So I anticipate the aggregate of our acquaintance are our beyond and abyss of ability and the actuality that we’ve got a rig beneath architecture that could be upgraded to 20 K puts us in a complete altered position.

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Just abacus into that to see that. So we do apprehend one account that here. But we additionally apprehend accession breakable to appear out this year. So that’s appealing acceptable to see, not alone accessories demography place, but, you know, abutting assignment as well. So could be one or two tenders we’ll see.

Ian MacPherson — Analyst

Ok. Thanks, Robert. Can I ask you a chase up aloof on the agile that you’ve got a brace of rigs rolling afterwards this year. But I was analytical about the Henry Goodrich in Canada. Obviously, we’re seeing acceptable day ante there for Bank 1 rigs, Goodrich actuality Bank 2. What are the diplomacy there? And afresh also, I anticipate the ocean rig Poseidon is.

Ian MacPherson — Simmons & Aggregation — Analyst

Contract in Angola appealing anon as well. Any comments on those?

Jeremy Lake

Yes, you’re still the as you as you acicular out, the Bank 1 rigs are absolutely in demand. So we’re absolutely awash over there for the acceptable rigs itself. And she’s action to accomplishment up apparently with a croaking diplomacy afterwards this year against the end, and afresh we’ll move to the UK. So we’re attractive at a brace of things for the year that we plan to cull the rig over during the algidity we’ll see what happens.

In agreement of the rain as able-bodied we absolutely aloof alive yesterday, we alive a arrangement to extend the rig by 30 to 45 canicule for accession able-bodied in Angola and that’s with a Senegal PMP. I don’t anticipate I can absolution any of the added advice because we don’t accept permission from the abettor yet. But that’s why there’d be a point for us aloof to accumulate her alive a bit longer.

Ian MacPherson — Simmons & Aggregation — Analyst

Okay. Thanks, I’ll canyon it over.

Jeremy Lake

Thank you.

Operator

Our abutting catechism will appear from Taylors Archer with Tudor, Pickering, Holt.

Taylors Archer — rig

Hey, acceptable morning, thanks. Turns out. But maybe I’ll alpha a catechism on the agile cachet and I’ll answer Ian’s comments that the dairy disclosures is absolutely what the market’s attractive for. But as relates to ascertain a bright leader, I apperceive that rig’s been an idol for absolutely some time now, but in the latest fleet, it looks like you’ve now ample that rig. So aloof curious. Any added blush as relates to that accommodation and afresh as we anticipate about that rig action aback to assignment in the future. It’s a absolutely awful able rig. How bound could you acknowledgment it to alive cachet and what array of costs would be required?

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

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Yes. So it goes to the bazaar for the rig. And so accepting a sec gen Rick, that basically is prioritizing the 7th gen advanced of ourselves. In the meantime, we apprehend to accumulate our banal for a little bit time until, as Jeremy said, know, we’re attractive to see that the day ante are arrangement terms, abutment the abounding aftereffect and the reactivations. And not alone that, but seeing your diplomacy action advanced aloft that.

Jeremy Lake

And aloof to add to that, Taylor, I mean, this was absolutely the aftereffect of the accretion of Ocean Rig and area we’d get four ample aerial blueprint seventh-gen rigs would be are action to be priorities for our customer. Afore that, clearly, it will be. By abutting year, Christmas through amount to clean for those blazon of rigs like the [Indecipherable] relitigating the accomplished amid $40 and $50 actor should get that rig aback up and accessible to work.

Analyst

Okay, great. That’s helpful. And afresh a catechism on some of the new builds already awning the 20 KPFA blazon opportunities. But for the Santorini and the Creed, you still accept a appealing aerial aback end payments still do on those rigs. I apprehend you can advance those aback end payments out to the right. But as it relates to affectionate of the arrangement you’re attractive advanced to accompany those.

Taylors Archer — rig

To exophoria, you’re attractive for a acceptable rate, but it is a one year term, commodity you’re adequate bringing those rigs out akin if the amount is acceptable enough?

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

So let me booty that. As you know, the final payments on those rings are amid 360 added actor to $560 million. In accession to that, you accept the amount of the regard, which could be anywhere amid 75, $85 million. So you’re attractive at a abundant analysis to write, acquainted that those payments are alone due at the end of 23 and aboriginal 24. We would still charge to accept a multi-year arrangement that generates acceptable acknowledgment on those assets afore we put it up. Clearly, we accept assets that are agnate to the Santorini that are currently sitting in Greece assemblage which we could accompany up for a lot less. So those will be prioritized over the Santorini as it relates to arrangement opportunities.

Taylors Archer

Okay, understood. Acknowledgment for feedback.

Operator

Our abutting catechism will appear from Chase Melville with Coffer of America.

Chase Melville — Coffer of America

Hey, acceptable morning. I capital to appear aback and maybe aloof allocution about the accepted ambiance on the ultra-deepwater day rates. You know, maybe allocution about what affectionate of drive you abide to see and apprehend to see in the aback bisected of this year. And do you apprehend that drive to affectionate of abide into 2020?

Jeremy Lake

Yes. Acceptable question. So we’re attractive at area we are from like the cardinal of apprenticed rigs and the appliance level, what that’s accomplishing to day rate. So what we’ve apparent a brace of altered parameters. Let’s attending complete bound at the Gulf of Mexico, Texas, because that seems to be a complete criterion in agreement of aback we’re seeing recovery.

So aback the alpha of the year, we’ve apparent a appealing cogent admission in agreement of the day rates. So if we artifice all these archive and about what we’re assuming is if day ante accept added anywhere amid 30 to 50% based on area they were and the lower allotment of that downturn, which absolutely the aftermost affectionate of low-level accessories accept to be fabricated in backward 2018. So, you know, aback we see the ad alpha accepting boots at brace abutting 200 and afresh we see several of our competitors are 170 and aloft in the Gulf of Mexico.

That’s complete auspicious to say that, that has confused up appealing quickly. So if if we anticipate about it we’re balked that it’s not affective akin faster, but there is absolutely a complete nice progression in that. And we attending at that all-embracing about the world. And that’s about what we’re seeing, is that the day ante are action up anywhere from 30 to 50% depending on the accurate abject in.

Unidentified Participant

Okay. And on the ultra-deepwater side, are you seeing a exceptional for seventh-gen rigs or that they’re just

Chase Melville — Coffer of America

Still not not that abundant binding on the seventh you to be able to see the premium, therefore, amid 6 or 7th gen?

Jeremy Lake

The 7th gen at the moment it’s finer awash out. But because there’s a few the shorter-term diplomacy associated with that, you’re not seeing the big pop blame against 300 yet. But absolutely the exceptional I anticipate is added for a hot rig with a abundant almanac that’s assuming well. It doesn’t necessarily accept to be a 7th gen but that about is the way that works is the higher-spec goes to work.

Chase Melville — Coffer of America

As things tighten, what do you anticipate would be an adapted exceptional for a 7 gen against a 6 gen, Lake?

Jeremy Lake

It absolutely depends on the targets that you’re aggravating to hit. But I mean, 30% , commodity like that.

Unidentified Participant

Okay. One quick chase up for Mark, if I may. Mark, do you accept any chargeless banknote breeze targets that you ability would like to share, maybe over the boilerplate to best term?

Mark-Anthony L. Mey — CFO

Yes. Positive.

Chase Melville — Coffer of America

Already I will. I assumption I’ll about-face it over and attending advanced to the complete chargeless banknote flow.

Operator

Our abutting catechism will appear from Kurt Agile with RBC.

Kurt Agile — RBC. — Analyst

Hey, acceptable morning?

Jeremy Lake

Hey, Kurt.

Kurt Agile — RBC. — Analyst

Hey, Jeremy. You fabricated an absorbing point about the requirements that you will charge to actuate rigs on a go-forward basis. And I anticipate you mentioned commodity forth the ambit of accepting some aspect commitments from your chump base. And I anticipate clearly, by the way the stocks accept been behaving akin with the advance in the basal fundamentals in the market.

It seems like investors would adopt that companies like castigation would get the banknote upfront from the aloft oil companies and not necessarily accept to await on accepting it recouped over the advance of the contract. So I assumption it’s affectionate of connected way to set up a catechism of, do you anticipate it’s accessible area the companies like yourselves could alpha to accept advantageous discussions with the aloft oil companies that are breeding this almanac banknote breeze and argue them that if they absolutely appetite to rig, they can allow to prepay to get it out of the art and in affectionate of advance that process? Any thoughts on that will be appreciated.

Mark Mey

Yeah, we attending advanced to that day. I would say that adapted now is apparently there. And we’ve approved that there’s some of the arrangement in agreement of a acrid ambiance base, some of the aerial specification, acrid ambiance assets, I accept were there with our customers. I accept you could command an upfront acquittal or agreement acquittal for reactivating a rig and.

Mark-Anthony L. Mey — CFO

Authorizing that rig to location, we’ve approved that already with the best contempo contract, but with the ultra-deepwater fleet, we’re not absolutely there yet. But as we alpha to see the bazaar abide to bind and accessible debris in the Gulf, I mean, we’re basically at a 100% utilization. So you could alpha to see that actualize in the ultra-deepwater amplitude in the not too abroad abutting and that’s that’s what I absolutely achievement for.

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Yes. I anticipate area you’ll see that is it will appearance up in mobilization fees. So, for example, the mobilization fee that we get with the Titan about pays for that movement of the rig over there. That’s not commodity that we’re convalescent over the term. So I anticipate Jeremy said we are we accept already apparent it in several instances, the acrid ambiance actuality a acceptable example. But I anticipate you’re atom on that best association recognize, including our customers, that it is not absolutely reasonable to ask for all things to be amortized over the arrangement and that barter are important and they’re accepting paid for mobilizations upfront is the way we intend to advance it.

Kurt Agile — RBC. — Analyst

Then I acknowledge that, you know, and that’s absolutely helpful. And afresh a footfall in the adapted administration in the aforementioned context, if demands aloft accumulation and its oil companies are allurement the industry to affectionate of cull rigs off the bank and you guys got bottom the upfront bill of the $50 actor or whatever, at the end of the day they should be basement that bill. Not necessarily the patrollers, but that’s added of me talking on a discourse than annihilation else. But be abundant to see the industry affectionate of columnist for that. [Speaker Overlap]

Jeremy Lake

Keep admonition Kurt. Accumulate preaching.

We’ll get on that box with you.

Kurt Agile — RBC. — Analyst

For sure, so added thing, aloof in the ambience of clamminess anticipation by the end of 2021, maybe afterward up on Chase’s catechism for Mark. What chargeless banknote breeze is associated with that clamminess dynamic. It’s, you know, on a accumulative abject out through 2021?

Mark Mey

That’s correct. We accept this all in our deck, which you guys accept apparent abounding times before. The 2020 and 2021 capex numbers are appealing big for us. So acutely we’re action to awning about $2 billion of capex and we get complete abutting to accomplishing that during that time period. Obviously, this is based aloft my complete deck, which can and will change, but we apprehend to be appealing abutting to actuality banknote breeze complete throughout that period.

Kurt Agile — RBC. — Analyst

All right, acknowledgment for that positional color. Acknowledge it. That’s it for me.

Operator

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We’ll apprehend abutting from Cole Sullivan with Wells Fargo.

Cole Sullivan — Wells Fargo

Hi, Acceptable Morning. And I’ll say acknowledgment afresh for publishing the rates. I apperceive you’ve heard that a few times, but I’m abiding you’ll accumulate audition that from us. On aloof discussions today. How are you? Seeing the progression of continuance and new tenders and clandestine discussions, are you seeing that actuate to amplitude out at all against above-mentioned levels?

Jeremy Lake

Yes. So in agreement of the accessible demand, we were aloof amphibian this week, actually. So from the alpha of the year, our numbers on accessible appeal accept added 35%. In agreement of a cardinal of audience and downs of the cardinal of rig opportunities, it looks like it’s up by 15%. So that would advance that our boilerplate continuance is increasing. So that’s good. But best importantly, that’s a appealing big jump in accessible demand. Bottomward to the cardinal of rigs that accept to be best up. You asked about, you know, one was affectionate of that act negotiation. So the numbers that we armpit are the ones that are not aloof the accessible tenders, but additionally the things that we apperceive are accident conceivably on the armpit so when. Yes, there’s absolutely a about-face against complete negotiations aback the chump is acumen that they don’t accept abundant best of the specific assets that they want.

So if you accept a diplomacy that’s not just, you know, aliment and butter, deepwater drilling, afresh they are actuality appealing specific about the rigs that they want. The operational almanac is complete important, but so are the altered specifications. So from our point of view, we’re absolutely seeing a lot added complete negotiations. And I anticipate our competitors are apparently seeing the same.

Cole Sullivan — Wells Fargo

All right. That makes sense. In aloof on the backward 19 availability on some your acrid agile like the Barents as a gap in the arrangement there afore the new fixture. And afresh you accept added ones like the baton in the Paul V Lloyd, how do you affectionate of see that over the fourth division area you accept all the added seasonality advancing in, do you see some afterimage there abaft the accepted contracts.

Jeremy Lake

Yeah. So for several of them we do. And for others, it’s maybe a little bit added challenged. But what we’ve apparent appear is that we are appealing bourgeois in how we address durations on our contract. So about that the programs run a little bit longer. So with programs alive a little bit longer, accumulated with some gaap accompaniment assignment that we apprehend to abutting in the abutting ages or two, and hopefully there won’t be too abounding gaaps amid now and the abutting spring.

Cole Sullivan — Wells Fargo

All right. Acknowledge you. I’ll about-face it back.

Operator

We’ll go abutting to J.B. Lowe with Citi.

JB Lowe — Citi

Hey, acceptable morning, guys. I appetite to alpha with a catechism on conduct ability offshore. You know, we’ve apparent absolutely solid improvements in onshore rig ability in agreement of wells assignment prager or footage drilled. I’m aloof apprehensive if you guys could could put some numbers about how abundant you’ve apparent your own conduct ability advance over the past, let’s say a brace of years, and how abundant added allowance do you anticipate there is to go, accustomed the college blueprint attributes of the things that are operating today? How abundant added can we see that ability advance over the abutting brace of years? And that’s a quick chase up to that. Does that put a cap or at atomic a complete on the upside in the amphibian rig calculation that you would commonly see in a added normalized environment? Thanks.

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Jeremy, let me admonition this by adage that due to the abatement in the industry, our best assets and our best crews alive in the aforementioned is accurate for our competitors. And so you’re accepting optimal ability achievement added all the time that we put into it. So we’ve apparently apparent an incremental advance of about 30% in some cases on some of our aerial blueprint rigs operating in the Gulf of Mexico and about the apple for that matter. So I’d say I’d say 30% is apparently a acceptable abode to start.

There’s consistently befalling for improvement. You know, we’re alive internally on processes. We’re alive with our OEM is on convalescent accessories achievement and we’re attractive at new technologies. And so, yes, there will be means to abide to advance efficiency. But what I’d say to that is as the bazaar starts to antithesis and we alpha to accompany assets at a ample status, we’re reactivating crews, bringing new bodies in.

Are we action to lose some of that ability of an industry? Absolutely. Obviously, we’ll endeavor to get those rigs and crews up to the accepted we’ve accustomed so far. So, yes, we’ve consistently arguable that that will put a cap on the cardinal of adopted rigs adapted action forward. And in fact, if you attending at the back, the past, Pete, I think, you know, 2014, we had about 270 floaters beneath arrangement in operation.

We’ve affectionate of been out there about for the aftermost four years and said that the new go advanced cardinal may be afterpiece to 200. And so that’s what we’ve absolutely taken the accomplishment to aerial brand our agile and focus alone on those aerial blueprint assets because we anticipate they’re the ones they’re action to assignment at in the bazaar starts to recover.

JB Lowe — Citi

Okay, great. Acknowledgment for that. Quick chase up aloof on the arrangement on the Barents. Can you guys put the numbers on what the audience and ache costs are action to be so we can affectionate of get a cleaner rig for that rig?

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Well, or so we can we altercate this with our chump and they would adopt that they’re the complete dairy not be accomplishing absolutely so. All it would announce would announce to you that it’s a appealing acceptable day rate. So I thought. No, I accept account for our customer. We absolutely can’t divulge, they ask us not to.

JB Lowe — Citi

All right, acknowledgment complete much, guys.

Operator

We’ll go abutting to Sasha Stone Wall with UBS.

Sasha Stone Wall — UBS

Thank you, and acceptable morning. [Indecipherable] Yeah. Look, and so a lot of my questions accept been answered, but aloof affectionate of capital to blow on. Aloof maybe you can anticipate about abeyant reactivation of 2020 actuality and so you. You were appealing bull comments, I think, about affectionate of the requirements action to get a abounding aftereffect on reactivation and what that amount ability be aloof right. Aloof affectionate of capital to get a faculty of, you know, if there any affectionate of benchmarks you can put out there in agreement of how abundant of that reactivation you’re action to like to be about paid aback aural the aboriginal arrangement appellation and aloof about any guideposts to affectionate of advice us get a faculty of that.

Jeremy Lake

Well, I should say it’s a acceptable question, and aback we allocution about internally and you know, if you attending at the amount of reactivation, we’ve been accessible about this, let’s say the $50 actor ticket. You know, you can aback into the day amount and appellation adapted aloof to pay aback that antecedent advance of $50 million. And afresh you’d accept to accept aplomb that either you accept abundant appellation to accomplish a acknowledgment on that advance or forward. You accept a chase on arrangement that you feel absolutely acceptable about because contrarily why go through the accomplishment and afresh you aloof accept to assemblage it again. And so, you know, we’re absolutely very, complete — we’ve accustomed a complete aerial bar for reactivating an asset at this point.

Unidentified Speaker

Right. Tough one, maybe aloof affectionate of blow on. The aloof abnormally the affair you mentioned is the Smith Burger and aloof the accession of the automatic conduct technology. Right. Maybe the catechism is to what admeasurement are about barter requesting this and would you be accommodating to allotment akin of asperous ambit of how we should anticipate about circadian amount uplift?

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Yeah again, so on the dairy uplift, I’m not abiding we can absolutely allotment the accommodation of that because it’s in a arcane contract, but yeah, in agreement of barter absorbed in it. Barter are complete absorbed in that because if you are able to assignment the well, you know, as Jeremy said, was bigger 30% in some of our assets.But I mean, akin if you’re acrimonious up 10 or 15%, it makes a actual aberration to the able-bodied costs. So that’s why these affectionate of self-funded bonuses absolutely assignment able-bodied for both sides. So, I mean, we’ve been collecting, you know, complete nice bonuses over the aftermost brace of quarters. So we apprehend that to continue. But in agreement of an complete number, I don’t anticipate I can absolutely [Speech Overlap]

Jeremy Lake

But we accept we did say in the aftermost call, I mean, as we attending at these specific relationships that we accept with that Gumayan accession of the automatic conduct controls, if we accomplish as we anticipate we will, these these will pay for themselves central of a year.

JB Lowe — Citi

Okay grerat, maybe if I could bastard in one added quick one, aloof maybe in agreement of some of the contempo arrangement accessories that were announced. Could you maybe accord us a faculty of how aggressive those were and maybe aloof accepted thoughts on how you affectionate of see about the conduct from the added contractors affairs out? Acknowledge you.

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Yes, so we would adulation to see a lot added conduct from our competition, but yeah, absolutely it’s about, you know, you haven’t apparent anybody book any connected appellation accessories at Lode. So that affectionate of tells you area everybody’s arch is in towns with the future. So that’s good. The abbreviate appellation is a bit added competitive. It depends on which amplitude you are which arena are. But I would aloof say that if you attending at the boilerplate picture, you see area things are going. It’s not aloof those that are accretion the behest rates, but it looks like best all of our competitors are, one or two ability be a little bit abaft the curve, but hopefully we’ll bolt up.

Jeremy Lake

I anticipate the important affair to agenda there is what Brad led with which was that no complete connected appellation diplomacy accept been awarded at low day rates. And it’s absolutely aloof bodies are scrambling in some cases to try to ample gaps so that they don’t accept to accept to booty a rig abandoned or akin staggered.

Sasha Stone Wall — UBS

Thank you, I’ll about-face it over.

Operator

We’ll go abutting to Craig Bliss with ETIG.

Craig Bliss — ETG

Yes. Acknowledge you. Acceptable morning, everybody. I guess, Brad aloof afterward up on that array of alternation of thought. You know, if we were to attending at Mike today against a year ago, do you accept a faculty for how abundant the bid asks between, you know, somebody like Transocean, which is added focused on amount and over appliance against maybe some of the competitors, how abundant that array of bid-ask has appear at the aerial end against the low? It’s affectionate of converged?

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

And so, yes, they are converging, there’s no agnosticism it’s right. I mean, as you see, the accessories are abundant added carefully aggregate as a basket. If you attending at like the Gulf of Mexico, the aftermost alternation of accessories basically, aback this year, far from affectionate of one a wire with the ascent 503, the Pacific and ourselves bedeviled a lot of attractive stuff. You know, 165, 175, 180, 185, that affectionate of range. So there may maybe one or two outliers, but for the best allotment of the conduct seems to be there.

Craig Biss — ETIG

Okay, great. And afresh aloof absolutely alive gears, I beggarly I assumption chargeless banknote flows. You know, it’s been a little bit of a affair on this call. I assumption adapted now out in the market, there’s a breakable in the North Sea potentially for a rig of the future, not now acumen that this is still years away. Is this commodity that we anticipate Transocean is actively attractive at pursuing?

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Yes, we are. I aloof met.

Craig Biss — ETIG

And aloof array of you could accord a little bit of blush around, you know, how we should be cerebration about, you know, aback that alpha up could be and array of like what went with how he had been cerebration about that.

Jeremy Lake

Let me stress, it would not be on a abstract basis. [Speech Overlaps] it isn’t.

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

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Yes. So that anticipation is several years in the abutting and it absolutely is. If you attending at Nari what you accept is like a So a rig like the cat D are fit for purpose. Designed absolutely to do what you charge them to do. The best able address possible. And so it’s one of those exercises, again, is like. So what does the new cat D attending like? And in agreement of absolutely carrying that rig is starting that program, we anticipate that probably, you know, 4 or 5 years early. So there’s a lot of things to anticipate about it. But, you know, on any accustomed Sunday, we’re consistently attractive at what is the latest technology, what does the abutting attending like? So, I mean, our teams are attractive at blow of the abutting on a around-the-clock basis. It’s aloof at this moment in time, you would accept to see a complete cogent advance from the abettor upfront to see any of those takeoffs.

Jeremy Lake

And the specific befalling you’re referencing is apprenticed by one chump who was aggravating to booty a attending at this. And so it would accept to be commodity that the chump would. We attending at technology internally all the time, but it would accept to be apprenticed by and adjourned by the chump in adjustment to get this affair to the accomplishment line.

Craig Biss — ETIG

Perfect. Okay, guys, acknowledge you complete much.

Operator

We’ll go abutting to catechism Sean Makeum with JP Morgan.

Sean Makeum — JP Morgan

Thanks, acceptable morning.

Jeremy Lake

Good morning, sir.

Sean Makeum — JP Morgan

So aloof a brace of things. One, if I get your thoughts on about how arrangement negotiations are evolving, you know, to some added complete negotiations, some of the operators are aggravating to get specific rigs aback that they’re attractive for. Maybe could we allocution about how they would non-dairy advantage arrange are actuality prioritized from your ancillary or from the chump side. Our mob costs acceptable added commonplace or is this alone still in baddest tenders? Aloof approved added of a feel for how that’s action on as you’re negotiating these new contracts.

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Yes, a lot of complete negotiations, actuality you’re action to see is either because the abettor already has the rank, are the riggers, has to see the arena anon available. So in that case, mobilization costs are appealing low, or about zero. But what we’re absolutely seeing is this complete negotiations actuality is about the best-performing assets or altered blueprint that absolutely help. So you would accept apparent that ice fell in South Africa. You know, ourselves and Canada and the US and a few added that are about not tendered opportunities in agreement of the mobilization fees. We are seeing that aloft the lath now. So we’re acquainted that there is a mobilization cost. Afresh we are seeing mobilization fees accepting paid. So, I mean, I can’t allege for my competitors, obviously, but from our point of view, that’s complete important in the new dynamics that these diplomacy become banknote breeze positive.

Sean Makeum — JP Morgan

Got it. That’s helpful. Acknowledge you for that. And afresh aloof cerebration about those few opportunities for, Larger projects area several rigs will be required. Are there enhancements you would accede to attract an abettor to arrangement several rigs together? Is that not as favorable as a action of aggravating to get the best agreement for anniversary rig at this point, the cycle?

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Yes, I anticipate you consistently got to antithesis that depending on how aggressive things are. But, you know, I mean, you saw there you’re talking about baskets already saw that added besom best up, seven rigs. I mean, that’s absurd to see that affectionate of action from Brazil in agreement of added operators attractive at assorted rigs. There are a brace of assorted rig opportunities out there. And there’s consistently a affectionate of a synergy aback you aces up that aforementioned arrangement for added than one rig with the aforementioned operator. But I don’t anticipate there’s a aggregate banknote discount. Certainly, I anticipate it absolutely is a case of you shoot, anniversary asset is earning the best you can.

Sean Makeum — JP Morgan

Got it. Okay, great. Acknowledge you.

Operator

Our final catechism will appear from Daniel Boyd with BMO Basic Markets.

Daniel Boyd — BMO Basic Markets. — Analyst

Good morning. This is Ken action on for Dan. Could you aloof analyze if your acquirement advice of 785 actor includes acquittal revenue?

Mark Mey

Yes.

Daniel Boyd — BMO Basic Markets. — Analyst

Thank you. That is it for me

Jeremy Lake

Thanks.

Operator

I’d like to now about-face the appointment back. Excuse me, aback to Mr. Alexander for any added or closing remarks.

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Thank you, our guests, and acknowledge you to all of our participants on today’s call. If you accept any added questions, amuse feel chargeless to acquaintance me. We attending advanced to talking with you afresh aback we address our third division 2019 results. Accept a acceptable day.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]

Duration: 50 minutes

Brad Alexander — Carnality president

Jeremy Lake

Mark-Anthony L. Mey — CFO

Taylors Archer

Mark Mey

Unidentified Speaker

Taylors Archer — rig

Ian MacPherson — Simmons & Aggregation — Analyst

Analyst

Chase Melville — Coffer of America

Unidentified Participant

Kurt Agile — RBC. — Analyst

Cole Sullivan — Wells Fargo

JB Lowe — Citi

Sasha Stone Wall — UBS

Craig Bliss — ETG

Craig Biss — ETIG

Sean Makeum — JP Morgan

Daniel Boyd — BMO Basic Markets. — Analyst

More RIG analysis

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